Another Week of Active US Weather (2024)

MINNEAPOLIS (DTN) -- Continued heavy rain, flooding, and severe weather in the U.S., wet weather in western Europe, and dryness in the Black Sea, are the weather factors driving the markets Thursday.

MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN HEADED FOR MIDWEST

After a very short break this week, another system is approaching the western Midwest on Thursday with showers and thunderstorms that will continue to spread eastward going through the weekend. A couple of other systems will move through next week with scattered showers as well. Short breaks between storm systems and areas of heavy rainfall have made it difficult for those yet to plant to finish up and flooding has been an issue in many areas, which is a threat for replanting. Colder air will move in later next week and weekend.

DAILY RAIN CHANCES FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS

Scattered showers and severe weather have been frequent in the Central and Southern Plains lately. Another front will slowly pivot around the area through the weekend and last into next week with more. Every day should feature precipitation somewhere in the region through at least June 3, which is a good prospect for getting some precipitation into drier parts in the southwest, but could cause storm damage or flooding in some others.

SEVERAL SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN PLAINS

A system continues to move through the Northern Plains with scattered showers on Thursday with isolated showers continuing afterward into next week with a couple more systems moving through as well. Any heavy amounts are likely to be very isolated, with more light to moderate rainfall across the region, which should leave enough holes for producers to continue planting while giving new seedlings some rainfall to continue growing.

MORE RAIN FORECAST FOR DELTA

A front remains in the southern Delta and may produce some more showers Thursday. Additional fronts and systems will be close by starting Friday and lasting through next week, which gives at least northern areas more chances for rain. Southern areas may find that as well. Although some flooding potential is possible, the rain is overall favorable for developing crops.

WET AND COOL FOR CANADIAN PRAIRIES

Another system will slowly move through the Canadian Prairies through Friday and the storm track will try to move farther north again for this weekend and next week, which brings more opportunity for rain through the region. Temperatures should fluctuate between systems, but overall do not look particularly cold, which should limit potential for frosts, though some cooler temperatures may slide through eastern portions of the region later next week.

DRY CONDITIONS FOR BRAZIL

Drier weather continues in Brazil through next week, which will help flooded areas in the south to recover a bit, though that will take a lot of time. Safrinha corn, which got some needed showers across the far south last weekend, continues to be dry with rising temperatures as the crop starts to mature.

COOL AND DRY IN ARGENTINA

Dry conditions continue to favor corn and soybean harvest in Argentina, but not winter wheat planting and establishment. A front will move through this weekend with only limited showers, but there are more opportunities later next week.

MUCH OF EUROPE STAYING WET

Scattered showers continue through much of Europe over the next few days with an upper-level low over the region that may last into next week. Wetness in the northwest is unfavorable for portions of the UK, France, and Germany. Showers elsewhere will be more favorable for summer crop growth.

LIMITED SHOWERS IN BLACK SEA

A disturbance in the Black Sea will bring a few waves of showers north over the next few days, which is sorely needed in a lot of areas. It may be too late for a lot of the wheat crop, but any rain would be helpful for summer crops. The isolated nature of the showers won't help too many areas, though. The pattern may get more active mid-late next week with a couple of systems potentially moving through.

WAVE OF RAIN CONTINUING THROUGH AUSTRALIA

A front moving through Australia this week is bringing needed rainfall and continues in eastern areas through Friday. Another system will take shape for western areas this weekend that may get into eastern areas next week. Western and southern areas will benefit from the rain that should help with planting and establishment. The transition to La Nina should bring more opportunities for beneficial rainfall over the next few months.

John Baranick can be reached at john.baranick@dtn.com

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